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the euro bounces on the news but stocks in europe are trading lower as ben bernanke warns monetary policy may not be enough to offset the damage if the u.s. economy goes over the fiscal cliff. >>> and the fed takes the new and surprising step in its ongoing efforts to boost the economy, tying interest rates directly to the u.s. unemployment rate. >>> plus, investors cheering the plan to save danone's plans to offset losses over the next two years. >> announcer: you're watching "worldwide exchange," bringing you business news from around the globe. >>> welcome to the program. coming up on today's show, we'll be plenty busy. we head out to tokyo where carry enjoji has been talking about the upcoming elections. then, we hone in on central london where one pilot project is living roof and major buildings. find out what green living can do go r to improve the area. >>> and today, the 1 billionth international tourist will reportedly arrive at a destination in the world. at 11:20 central time, we'll speak to the world travel council to find out why france is still the world's top destination bu
the euro bounces on the news but stocks in europe are trading lower as ben bernanke warns monetary policy may not be enough to offset the damage if the u.s. economy goes over the fiscal cliff. >>> and the fed takes the new and surprising step in its ongoing efforts to boost the economy, tying interest rates directly to the u.s. unemployment rate. >>> plus, investors cheering the plan to save danone's plans to offset losses over the next two years. >> announcer: you're...
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you had both ben bernanke. you had the minnesota fed chairman -- >> coach likota. >> thank you for bailing me out. >> liesman will be happy i knew that. >> the economy was getting better and the ten-year went from 1.8% all the way up to 2.40. what happened in april? you printed 68,000. the message of the market was wrong. fast forward to september, same thing. the announcement of qe3 was supposed to be reflationary. within one week it was the high of the s&p. >> let's go to stephanie link before we bring in the professor to decide if any of you are getting an "a" on this pone. >> i think the fed will continue to keep rates low because we're only growing gdp at 2.7%. we're looking at the fiscal cliff and austerity and he's doing what he can just to keep this thing afloat and to not go back into a recession. i think rates stay low for an extended period of time. i don't know if we get to 6.5% next year or in two years from now, but that's not -- it's not going to be like all of a sudden we get to 6.5 and bam, he
you had both ben bernanke. you had the minnesota fed chairman -- >> coach likota. >> thank you for bailing me out. >> liesman will be happy i knew that. >> the economy was getting better and the ten-year went from 1.8% all the way up to 2.40. what happened in april? you printed 68,000. the message of the market was wrong. fast forward to september, same thing. the announcement of qe3 was supposed to be reflationary. within one week it was the high of the s&p....
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that is really the key he question because at some point even ben bernanke suggested this will not go on forever. there will be a time where they back out of this $4 trillion of portfolio that they will have built up over the next year. how do they back out? >> well, for most investors what they have to be concerned with, what happens on the day the fed says, hey we're going to exit the market, we'll start selling 40 billion or 45 billion of treasurys each month? well, everybody is on the wrong side of the boat. everybody is long treasurys. now you're going to sell the treasurys. everybody has to rush to the other side of the boat and we see, again, a real risk that interest rates will rise very quickly when the fed makes that announcement. it will be a very difficult situation to quote, exit with the huge balance sheet like that from the fed where they're the dominant supplier now. david: not just the fed. central banks all over the world. >> that's right. david: a very dangerous experiment we're right in the middle of now. books will be written about this. let's hope it ends up well
that is really the key he question because at some point even ben bernanke suggested this will not go on forever. there will be a time where they back out of this $4 trillion of portfolio that they will have built up over the next year. how do they back out? >> well, for most investors what they have to be concerned with, what happens on the day the fed says, hey we're going to exit the market, we'll start selling 40 billion or 45 billion of treasurys each month? well, everybody is on the...
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ben bernanke's news conference starts at 12:15 p.m. eastern time. steve joins us in a few minutes with the preview from washington. >>> another story with big implications is michigan's decision to become a righ"right work" state. it would bar members from requiring to pay member dues. the governor signed the law. >> shouldn't unions be putting out the proposition workers want to join a union and shouldn't workers be able to make a choice their dollars are going to that union based on whether they're getting results that. 's what this is doing. that's why i view this as pro worker, not anti-union. >> it is viewed as a big blow to organized union that has seen membership decline across the country. dow opened higher by 56, nasdaq by 13 and s&p by a little more than 7, a gain half a percent across the board. in asia, higher across the board, not a lot. hang seng did well, higher by 181 points. europe still open at this hour, higher across the board. a gain for germany and quarter percent for the ftse, fairly flat where decide iing he will longer be a
ben bernanke's news conference starts at 12:15 p.m. eastern time. steve joins us in a few minutes with the preview from washington. >>> another story with big implications is michigan's decision to become a righ"right work" state. it would bar members from requiring to pay member dues. the governor signed the law. >> shouldn't unions be putting out the proposition workers want to join a union and shouldn't workers be able to make a choice their dollars are going to that...
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the one thing we can be certain about is that ben bernanke is keeping his foot on the pedal right now. >> yeah, and john, when you compare what economists have forecasted when it comes to unemployment and what the fed is essentially forecasting. if you look at the officials and where they stand, 13 of the 19 officials say there won't be an increase likely until 2015, which would imply that the unemployment rate would remain above 6.5% for that amount of time. does that measure up with what wall street is forecasting? >> well, it measures up with what the fed is forecasting. i haven't looked at our own survey, which just came out. but the felt's fod's forecasts general little in lily in line street's. so, i think it does -- for me, one of the big questions is, all right, so, what happens once we get to that point? once we get to 6.5% unemployment, you know, the fed chairman said today that he thinks that the fed is likely to be able to move very gararadual to raise interest rates. of course, he's probably not going to be around. his term would have ended. but there's a risk that the fe
the one thing we can be certain about is that ben bernanke is keeping his foot on the pedal right now. >> yeah, and john, when you compare what economists have forecasted when it comes to unemployment and what the fed is essentially forecasting. if you look at the officials and where they stand, 13 of the 19 officials say there won't be an increase likely until 2015, which would imply that the unemployment rate would remain above 6.5% for that amount of time. does that measure up with...
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and ben bernanke's press briefing at quarter past. the fed is expected to announce a new round of bond purchases as its latest program, operation twist, is set to expire at the end of the month. cnbc will begin at 12:00 p.m. eastern. >>> joining us is stewart richardson, partner at rpmg. the press conference -- we'll hear a fresh round of stimulus from the fed. how significant would that be? >> in my mind it's not that significant. i think as optics, people think this is another addition to the stimulus. the fact is that the fed for months and months and months when they go out to purchase longer term treasuries, they're trying to reduce the supply of those in the market and effectively swap short dated cash or other securities. north about 1.25%. whether they're holding reserves or selling the, say, two-year treasury at north of 2 5 basis points, it's effectively the same thing. they're printing 85 million a month and saying we're not doing a twist, we're doing an outright purchase. >> it's different if twist doesn't expand the balan
and ben bernanke's press briefing at quarter past. the fed is expected to announce a new round of bond purchases as its latest program, operation twist, is set to expire at the end of the month. cnbc will begin at 12:00 p.m. eastern. >>> joining us is stewart richardson, partner at rpmg. the press conference -- we'll hear a fresh round of stimulus from the fed. how significant would that be? >> in my mind it's not that significant. i think as optics, people think this is another...
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>>> a news conference by chairman ben bernanke, set for wednesday.
>>> a news conference by chairman ben bernanke, set for wednesday.
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ben bernanke will feel it's his job to do whatever he can. that's the nature of the team, that's the nature of what they've been doing. are there any extra goodies that they might think of in your view? >> the extra goody they're talking about i would describe as operation twist. what they have been doing is driving down long-term rates, by essentially settling short-term treasuries and buying long-term treasuries. the possibility that steve just described, and it is a possibility, is that because they're running out of the short term, they will only buy the long term. that will certainly be an expansion. but the question is, will that expansion add a lot to the -- >> let me ask you about that. on a scale of 1 to 10, how powerful a tool is that? if they announce it today, mark? >> it has a significant psychological effect. but it's only psychological. it will be a long time before that would have any fundamental effect on the underlying economy. >> you know, mark, let me rather than going immediately to john on this question, let me ask you w
ben bernanke will feel it's his job to do whatever he can. that's the nature of the team, that's the nature of what they've been doing. are there any extra goodies that they might think of in your view? >> the extra goody they're talking about i would describe as operation twist. what they have been doing is driving down long-term rates, by essentially settling short-term treasuries and buying long-term treasuries. the possibility that steve just described, and it is a possibility, is...
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and ben bernanke's news conference at 2:15. the fed is expected to launch a new bond buying program called operation twist that will expire at the enovd month. james, we know this is a huge meeting. this is obviously a good time for the fed to embark on something new for 2013. is this the wise approach? >> well, it's the wise approach in a very near term, a, because operation twist is coming to an end. b, because we have the fiscal cliff or fiscal gentle slope or whatever it turns out to be to negotiate and c, because we haven't found our legs in the u.s. and we clearly have some global headwinds coming in 2013. however, the thing about this qe in the u.s., unlike previous ones where they could see big economic problems, let's comfort the market with a really big number, this time we're going to do it month by month. solo the annual figures look very big, they're going to halt qe as long as it looks like there's inflation. >> which means there might not be much market reaction as investors realize that. >>> find out what travel
and ben bernanke's news conference at 2:15. the fed is expected to launch a new bond buying program called operation twist that will expire at the enovd month. james, we know this is a huge meeting. this is obviously a good time for the fed to embark on something new for 2013. is this the wise approach? >> well, it's the wise approach in a very near term, a, because operation twist is coming to an end. b, because we have the fiscal cliff or fiscal gentle slope or whatever it turns out to...
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we know ben bernanke has been. warning us for months. the fed is doing everything it possibly can to pointing the finger at washington that it has to do more. do you think the economy has already suffered for lack of a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff? >> i think so. if we look at business investments declining in the third quarter, some as business nervousness. businesses are holding back on investment, near-term. lori: do agree the fittest and all they all they can in expecting an announcement of wanted it using three this week? the fed cannot solve this problem. >> they need to avoid most of the spending cuts and tax increases with economy likely to go under recession. the fed can help out somewhat but if we see those spending cuts and tax increases, we're likely to see it go back and ino recession. lori: purchasing the short-term, we invest in the long-term help in the mortgage market. we have seen a real those haitian, is it fair to say it has helped those housing in the economy? >> absolutely. housing prices are start to increase. bu
we know ben bernanke has been. warning us for months. the fed is doing everything it possibly can to pointing the finger at washington that it has to do more. do you think the economy has already suffered for lack of a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff? >> i think so. if we look at business investments declining in the third quarter, some as business nervousness. businesses are holding back on investment, near-term. lori: do agree the fittest and all they all they can in expecting an...
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but i think we're also going to have to talk more about ben bernanke. if we go off the fiscal cliff, it shows the irony of how the feds balance sheets isn't addressing the problem. it isn't addressing unemployment. one hand of the government is trying to do something that isn't working and the other hand is shooting in the foot. i think this is going to be interesting listening to bernanke on wednesday. >> ben has already put it out there there's not a lot the fed can do if we go off the fiscal cliff. you speak to a lot of smart people, rick santelli. >> and he's a smart person as well. >> to feel it's going to be a year of strong dollar or weaker dollar. i ask this because so many companies during their latest earning season have pointed to the strong dollar as a real problem for them if they're a multinational. >> i think the relationship between all the developed countries using printing presses like the dollar, yen, euro, are close to levels and ranges we'll see next year. i think in some of the asian currencies we need to pay more attention to. you
but i think we're also going to have to talk more about ben bernanke. if we go off the fiscal cliff, it shows the irony of how the feds balance sheets isn't addressing the problem. it isn't addressing unemployment. one hand of the government is trying to do something that isn't working and the other hand is shooting in the foot. i think this is going to be interesting listening to bernanke on wednesday. >> ben has already put it out there there's not a lot the fed can do if we go off the...
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we talked about ben bernanke beforehand in a news article. explain something to me, because you know i'm a simple man, got simple tastes. i just love running through the fields barefooted, you know. >> eating doughnuts. >> eating doughnuts. eating munchkins after a cool spring rain. but anyway, i don't understand -- you like that, harold? i don't know where this comes from. i think it's a sugar rush from the munchkins. but anyway. i don't understand how the entire chattering class, the elites, all the economists, the entire world decided they were going to beat the hell out of alan greenspan for providing cheap money over a decade. how could he do that? how could he do that after the long-term capital collapse? how could he do that after the collapse in asia? how could you do that after the dotcom bust? but alan greenspan never did what this fed chairman is doing. i mean, he's taken greenspan's belief that cheap money will help americans through tough times to an absurd new level. >> well, he's certainly taken it to a new level. we can discus
we talked about ben bernanke beforehand in a news article. explain something to me, because you know i'm a simple man, got simple tastes. i just love running through the fields barefooted, you know. >> eating doughnuts. >> eating doughnuts. eating munchkins after a cool spring rain. but anyway, i don't understand -- you like that, harold? i don't know where this comes from. i think it's a sugar rush from the munchkins. but anyway. i don't understand how the entire chattering class,...
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that said, that awareness, that recognition ben bernanke and a former bush a chair have embraced, that our problems are about demand rather than structural, this should not undermine the fundamental importance of dealing with skills or that we may face temporary or future skills gaps. i think there are three reasons why we should be focused on this. number one, even the unemployment today that is fundamentally about cyclical demand, less strength in the economy, can easily become the next structural skills problem of the future. we know that one of the challenges we face right now in our economy is not just lowering unemployment but lowering long-term unemployment, and we allow legions of our fellow citizens to stay unemployed for one year or two years, we know from study after study, that they will have more trouble reestablishing their skills going forward. that would be a humanitarian crisis for us as a country, but also we would also be sitting by and letting a structural skills gap expand because we're not taking enough efforts right now to get people back to work and to deal with
that said, that awareness, that recognition ben bernanke and a former bush a chair have embraced, that our problems are about demand rather than structural, this should not undermine the fundamental importance of dealing with skills or that we may face temporary or future skills gaps. i think there are three reasons why we should be focused on this. number one, even the unemployment today that is fundamentally about cyclical demand, less strength in the economy, can easily become the next...
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and later federal reserve chairman ben bernanke holds a news conference following a meeting of the federal open market committee. you can watch that live beginning at 2:00 p.m. eastern. >> the white house national economic council director discusses the fiscal cliff on monday and emphasizes the administration's position on higher taxes for the wealthy. he spoke at a center for american progress forum titled investing in the future, higher education, innovation and american competitiveness. this is 40 minutes. >> it is my great privilege to introduce gene sperling, director of the white house national economic council and assistant the president for economic policy. gene sperling also is a former senior fellow at the center for american progress, pro-growth progressive. and the connection between innovation, education, ensuring we have an economy that works for everyone. i want to say having served in the administration, there is no one in the administration who is more focused on america's long-term competitiveness, short term competitiveness, midterm competitiveness, when the president is
and later federal reserve chairman ben bernanke holds a news conference following a meeting of the federal open market committee. you can watch that live beginning at 2:00 p.m. eastern. >> the white house national economic council director discusses the fiscal cliff on monday and emphasizes the administration's position on higher taxes for the wealthy. he spoke at a center for american progress forum titled investing in the future, higher education, innovation and american...
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fed chief ben bernanke speaks at 2:15 eastern. the s & p 500 up more than 13% so far this year, and now up since the election. >>> bank of america, merrill lynch predicts oil prices in this country will drop to $50 per barrel. the cause? difficulty in moving huge amounts of oil from the bakan oil fields in south dakota and in texas. they don't predict a corresponding drop in gas prices. world oil prices will stay high, and our gas prices will likely track that. >>> americans are upbeat about the economy. 43% of americans say they are optimistic about 2013 and believe the economy is rebounding, nearly twice as many as last year. >> can i ask? the other day, we were talking about the fiscal cliff. and you tell us it will be really, really bad. why does the market keep going up? >> everyone thinks they will fix it. in the market, the question, what will the top rate be for the highest earners. 37%? the market says there will be a deal and lower corporate tax rates. if there isn't a deal, after the first of the year, a big stock marke
fed chief ben bernanke speaks at 2:15 eastern. the s & p 500 up more than 13% so far this year, and now up since the election. >>> bank of america, merrill lynch predicts oil prices in this country will drop to $50 per barrel. the cause? difficulty in moving huge amounts of oil from the bakan oil fields in south dakota and in texas. they don't predict a corresponding drop in gas prices. world oil prices will stay high, and our gas prices will likely track that. >>>...
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federal reserve chairman ben bernanke admitted that the spending levels of this administration are unsustainable, just as president clinton declared years ago, the era of big government is over. this congress needs to man up and declare the era of taxing, spending and borrowing is over as well. now is the time for the president to provide leadership and level with the american people and set aside the campaign rhetoric of class warfare division and envy. small businesses cannot and should not be painted with the same broad brush as millionaires, billionaires and wall street executives. we must protect our small businesses and stop promoting the treatment of their income the same as the wealthy. at the same time, this administration needs to admit that raising taxes on small businesses will not help small businesses. we must prioritize our fiscal negotiations by putting spending reductions before addressing new receive news. mr. speaker -- revenues. mr. speaker, i came to washington to get something done. speaker boehner shows he understands the gravity of the situation and wants to find a soluti
federal reserve chairman ben bernanke admitted that the spending levels of this administration are unsustainable, just as president clinton declared years ago, the era of big government is over. this congress needs to man up and declare the era of taxing, spending and borrowing is over as well. now is the time for the president to provide leadership and level with the american people and set aside the campaign rhetoric of class warfare division and envy. small businesses cannot and should not...
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bernanke. >> absolutely. >> let's look at another area. >> can i add one more point? >> sure. >> when you look at it and larry summers was on this morning, whom i have great respect for, he had the piece from the imf study when you cut the deficit by 1%, what is the impact on the gdp. they didn't get into that this morning but if his numbers he's using 0.9 to 1.4, if you lose 2% to 3% of gdp you'll go to negative growth which will impact -- >> at the very least the wheels will be on the runway. >> absolutely. >> let's switch gears, mario draghi today, listen, i was so wrong and i don't know how long it will last but i give him credit, at least for this period of time, how long it lasts because there is no growth and recession in europe i can't answer but what were your observations on that press conference? >> last night when i wrote about it, mario draghi can put his feet up and have a stella and enjoy. he bought himself time. july 6th will be mario draghi's day of celebration because he stemmed the financial crisis in europe and bought time. berlusconi comes onto th
bernanke. >> absolutely. >> let's look at another area. >> can i add one more point? >> sure. >> when you look at it and larry summers was on this morning, whom i have great respect for, he had the piece from the imf study when you cut the deficit by 1%, what is the impact on the gdp. they didn't get into that this morning but if his numbers he's using 0.9 to 1.4, if you lose 2% to 3% of gdp you'll go to negative growth which will impact -- >> at the very...
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about the dollar as a result of the very aggressive policies that we've had from alan greenspan and ben bernanke, the dollar has lost about a third of its value over the last three years on the dollar index. does that mean that manufacturers like yourself will be forced to bring jobs back to america because now producing elsewhere and importing on that currency effect is now 30% more expensive? >> you know, in that case for us, that is not going to have a big impact. 80% or more of what we sell in the u.s. we already make in the u.s. we really believe in production and if you look at our business and all of the large markets around the world, we have established production basis. if anything, that's perhaps helped us a little bit because we do export about 15% of our u.s. production. overall the biggest impact that the change in currencies have had is really for us the brazilian and indian currencies which have devalued about 25% over the last year. the u.s. dollar change has not had a large impact on us. interesting to hear you talk about housing in this country. sherwin williams, depo
about the dollar as a result of the very aggressive policies that we've had from alan greenspan and ben bernanke, the dollar has lost about a third of its value over the last three years on the dollar index. does that mean that manufacturers like yourself will be forced to bring jobs back to america because now producing elsewhere and importing on that currency effect is now 30% more expensive? >> you know, in that case for us, that is not going to have a big impact. 80% or more of what...
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that said, that awareness, that recognition that ben bernanke and former cea sheriff lazar -- cea chair lazear should not undermine that we face temporary or futures skills gaps but there is three reasons we should be focused on this. number one, even the unemployment today that is fundamentally about cyclical demand can easily become the next structural skills problem of the future. we know that one of the challenges we face right now in our economy is not just lowering unemployment, but lower and long-term unemployment, and that if we allow regions of our fellow citizens to stay unemployed for year or two years or longer, we know from study after study that they want more trouble establishing their skills going forward -- they will have more trouble is establishing a still going forward. there will be a crisis for us in the country, but we will also be sitting by and letting a new structural skills gap expand because we're not taking enough efforts right now to get people back to work and deal with long- term unemployment. secondly, there's clearly some immediate still a gap issues. y
that said, that awareness, that recognition that ben bernanke and former cea sheriff lazar -- cea chair lazear should not undermine that we face temporary or futures skills gaps but there is three reasons we should be focused on this. number one, even the unemployment today that is fundamentally about cyclical demand can easily become the next structural skills problem of the future. we know that one of the challenges we face right now in our economy is not just lowering unemployment, but lower...